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Five Thirty Eight - Economics

  • Spying Doesn’t Pay — Unless You’re Really Good At It
    Earlier this month, the Justice Department announced the arrest of Ron Hansen, a former Defense Intelligence Agency officer. Hansen is accused of receiving at least $800,000 from Chinese sources in exchange for information he learned from “military…
    - 21 Jun 18, 6:38pm -
  • What If Tariffs Cost Trump The Farm Vote?
    In 1977, Jimmy Carter made an improbable journey from Georgia peanut grower to Democratic president in part by playing on his humble roots and receiving support from America’s farmers. Yet this bedrock voting constituency abandoned a fellow farmer…
    - 26 Apr 18, 10:01am -
  • Where Blue-Collar America Is Strongest
    President Trump seems ready to declare victory in his effort to make America great again; last month, he said the slogan for his 2020 re-election campaign will be “Keep America Great.” But how much has really changed, particularly for the “ever…
    - 12 Apr 18, 10:01am -
  • The Pay Gap Is Way Too Entrenched To Be Solved By Women Alone
    Happy Equal Pay Day! (Or, as I like to call it, Women’s New Year.) Today is the day that marks roughly how far into 2018 women had to work to earn a salary equal to what men got the year before. We’d throw a parade and street fair, but we were to…
    - 10 Apr 18, 2:36pm -
  • What Issues Should Democrats Ignore In 2018?
    Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. micah (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Today’s debate will center around this tweet from a political analyst: Everybody always writes columns about wh…
    - 4 Apr 18, 10:01am -
  • We Let Our Readers Practice International Trade. They Started A Bunch Of Trade Wars.
    Why couldn’t we all just get along? Last week, we published an article on the game theory of international trade and trade wars. The article included an interactive game in which you (yes, you) were elected president and could pick your own foreign…
    - 3 Apr 18, 6:30pm -
  • How To Win A Trade War
    The tweet came before 6 a.m., as President Trump’s tweets often do. It was early March, and the Trump administration had just announced steep tariffs on imported steel and aluminum. That did not make China or America’s European allies happy. Last…
    - 28 Mar 18, 10:00am -
  • Student Loans Are Too Expensive To Forgive
    Late last year, graduate students watched as legislators in the House debated giving them a hefty new tax bill: A version of the GOP tax plan proposed to treat tuition waivers as taxable income. Although that plan was later dropped, Congress is once…
    - 27 Mar 18, 1:00pm -
  • Everyone Tries To Dodge The Tax Man, And It Keeps Getting Easier
    Al Capone was busted for tax evasion. Leona Helmsley was, too. But gangsters and entitled millionaires aren’t the only ones who hold something back from the tax man. Each year, Americans of all stripes underpay the IRS by hundreds of billions, aide…
    - 19 Mar 18, 9:58am -
  • Tariffs And Bank Regulations Are Splitting Both Parties In The Lead-Up To The Midterms
    We think of today’s Washington as being rigidly divided along party lines on nearly every issue. But a bloc of Democrats in the Senate just joined with Republicans and the Trump administration on a bill that would lighten some restrictions on banks…
    - 15 Mar 18, 3:30pm -
  • Tariffs Can Work — When They’re Part Of A Plan
    Republicans are in revolt. Economists on the left and right are deeply skeptical. President Trump’s top economic adviser resigned rather than be party to it. The culprit: tariffs, and specifically the president’s decision to slap duties on import…
    - 13 Mar 18, 9:58am -
  • Trump Is In A Worse Position With North Korea Than Obama Was At The Start Of The Iran Talks
    President Trump boldly announced last week that he would meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to talk disarmament, working to fulfill his recent State of the Union promise to prevent Pyongyang from obtaining nuclear missiles that could hit the U…
    - 12 Mar 18, 10:00am -
  • Making Sense Of Trump’s Two Big Moves On North Korea And Tariffs
    The announcement on Thursday night that President Trump planned to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, likely in May, was weird. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson seemed blindsided by the move, it breaks with U.S. precedent (no sitting commander in…
    - 9 Mar 18, 6:12pm -
  • The Economy Is Keeping ‘Reluctant’ Trump Voters With Him
    Last spring, FiveThirtyEight commissioned a SurveyMonkey poll that aimed to glean the views of voters who cast their ballots for President Trump but did so unenthusiastically. We called them “reluctant” Trump voters; they were crucial in Trump’…
    - 8 Mar 18, 3:45pm -
  • The Blockchain Is Just Another Way To Make Art All About Money
    Illustration by Matt Dorfman On Valentine’s Day, a small group of art collectors pooled $1 million worth of cryptocurrency to buy a photograph of a rose. But the picture won’t be unwrapped over a candlelit dinner or hung on a bedroom wall. The ph…
    - 7 Mar 18, 6:13pm -
  • Four Reasons That Gary Cohn’s White House Resignation Is Different
    Lots of people have left President Trump’s White House. Those departures never seemed likely to have a real impact on policy. Most of them didn’t appear to tell us something larger about what was going on within the administration, beyond it bein…
    - 7 Mar 18, 12:55pm -
  • People Are Paying Thousands Of Dollars To Own Pictures Of Pepe The Frog
    Illustration by Kelsey Dake Editor’s note: This article includes depictions of a cartoon character that many deem offensive due to its association with white supremacist groups. Some links in this story lead to offensive material. Pepe the Frog sta…
    - 6 Mar 18, 11:00am -
  • Could The Supreme Court Really Bust Public-Sector Unions?
    The U.S. Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on Monday in a case that’s being billed as a potentially devastating blow to organized labor in the U.S. In Janus v. American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, Council 31, the justi…
    - 26 Feb 18, 11:01am -
  • ‘Black Panther’ Is Groundbreaking, But It’s Shuri Who Could Change The World
    “Black Panther” — which hit theaters on Thursday — is notable for a number of reasons. It is the first comic-book movie in decades to have a black protagonist. It was shot by one of the best directors of his generation and with an Oscar-nomin…
    - 16 Feb 18, 7:37pm -
  • 8 Tips To Improve Your Relationship, Courtesy Of International Relations
    A big part of the science of international relations is the study of the causes of war. But it’s also about how nations can cooperate — like signing treaties, providing aid and generally promising not to kill each others’ citizens. It considers…
    - 14 Feb 18, 2:34pm -

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